Finding Inflation Uncertainty Factors: A Sparse Stochastic Volatility Approach Permalink
Journal of Financial Econometrics, Conditionally Accepted
In this study, we investigate the factors that possess information on future inflation uncertainty among many macroeconomic and uncertainty indices. Contrary to prior studies suggesting that the inflation level is essentially a unique factor explaining inflation uncertainty, our findings reveal that survey inflation expectations and the capacity utilization rate are significantly more relevant in terms of predictability.